Carlos Hyde (RB-SF) has a good chance to outperform his 2016 fantasy football average draft position (ADP).

So there's Carlos Hyde and that's about it.

No, seriously, that's really about it.

In our NFC West 2016 fantasy football team previews and projections podcast, we did discuss the possibility of Colin Kaepernick being named the starting quarterback, and the potentially juicy fantasy goodness that could come from that. However, unless and until he is named the starter, you can move along, there's nothing else to see here.

Here are TJ's San Francisco 49ers 2016 fantasy football projections.

The Core

Blaine Gabbert (QB) - 3500 yards, 20 TDs, 15 INTs, 200 rush yards, 2 TDs.

If Gabbert emerges as the starting quarterback in San Francisco, his fantasy relevance is minimal - even in a Chip Kelly offense. Who's he going to throw to? Exactly. In a two-quarterback league, there are probably 24 other QBs you would rather draft than Gabbert. If you're banking on Gabbert, your best bet is a Carlos Hyde injury and a lot of point-chasing junk time.

Carlos Hyde (RB) - 1100 yards, 6 TDs, 35 catches, 250 yards, 1 TD.

When healthy, Hyde's a stud. The question is, can Hyde stay healthy? If no credible passing threat emerges, expect defenses to key on Hyde. If Gabbert is half-decent, or, miraculously, Kaep is Kaep again, then TJ's projections for Hyde are way too low. If you draft Hyde as a mid- to low-end RB2 - he's currently the 15th running back off the board with an average draft position (ADP) of 38 - he stands an excellent shot of outperforming his ADP. He could easily eclipse 1500 total yards and 10 touchdowns, but not as long as he's the only show in town.

Vance McDonald (TE) - 50 catches, 500 yards, 5 TDs.

McDonald showed flashes of fantasy brilliance last year, but they were only flashes. Gabbert or Kaep have to throw to someone, and there is an incredible lack of anyone else, so McDonald is an intriguing guy to watch. But only to watch. You don't have to draft McDonald as he is currently the 30th tight end being drafted, but he is a streaming option to begin the season. He's a DFS tournament play, at best.

Torrey Smith (WR-SF) is a boom-or-bust wide receiver who should be better than his average draft position (ADP) suggests.

Torrey Smith (WR) - 70 catches, 1000 yards, 7 TDs.

The problem with Torrey Smith is that he will have games where he catches four balls for 120 yards and two touchdowns, and he will have games where he lays a big, fat goose egg. And you never know when either is going to happen. The other problem with Smith is that he is currently the 47th wide receiver being drafted with an ADP of 113, but he will finish better than that. And I still want no part of Torrey Smith on my fantasy team.


Torrey Smith

He is Torrey Smith. There will be a week where he goes off for 120 yards and three touchdowns, but it will be on a team you're playing against. If you can pick which weeks he'll pop, you're good to go.


Not much is expected from either Blaine Gabbert (QB-SF) or Colin Kaepernick (QB-SF) in 2016, but Kaepernick is worth watching if he wins the starting job.

49ers Quarterbacks

If you're drafting any Niners QB as your starter, you're either a Niners fan or an idiot.

And I can say that because I traded Cam Newton for Colin Kaepernick a couple of years back. Lesson learned!

Of course, if Kaep wins the starting job and looks good in the preseason, I'd probably be crazy enough to draft him again. Even if I don't always follow my own advice, don't say I didn't warn you.

Unlike the Seattle Seahawks, who are an excellent real-life NFL team, but not so great for fantasy purposes, the San Francisco 49ers are going to be a bad football team in real life and in fantasy football. Maybe Chip Kelly turns it around and gives the offense a boost, but don't count on it. For fantasy, it's Carlos Hyde and that's it.


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