Blake Bortles (QB-Jax) should be a better NFL quarterback, but that could mean regression in fantasy football numbers for the 2016 season.

Last season, probably around the midway point, I declared that the Jags were my favorite AFC team. They were young and exciting. True, they made a lot of mistakes as well.

Now, in 2016, Blake Bortles is a year older, they added a true banger in the backfield in Chris Ivory, and they retained the pass-catching group that was so dynamic in 2015. This is one of the bes receiving corps in the NFL. Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, Julius Thomas and Rashad Greene will make it hard to zero in on any one guy. This is going to be fun again.

The Core

Blake Bortles (QB) - 4200 yards, 32 TDs, 15 INTs - 250 yards, 2 TDs.

Bortles had a breakout fantasy season in 2015 with over 4400 yards and 35 TDs. He was a junk time hero. This season, the Jags have upgraded their defense and running game. This should mean that Bortles will regress in passing production. At least the Jags hope so. He is currently being drafted at 71, which is a little too high for my liking. He is a great start up dynasty pick, however. He's only getting better, oddly enough, that might mean a worse fantasy season. 

Allen Robinson (WR) - 80 catches, 1400 yards, 10 TDs.

Allen Robinson (WR-Jax) is one of the best young wide receivers in the NFL. He was a fantasy football stud last season and will be again in 2016.

One of the nice things about being in keeper/dynasty leagues is that if you take a flyer on a guy, and he hits, you have that value for a good, long time. That's the case with Robinson. I have him everywhere I have a keeper situation because I had him on every single team last season. Robinson is a stud, plain and simple. You have to draft him in the second, and he won't disappoint.

Allen Hurns (WR) - 70 catches, 1000 yards, 6 TDs.

Hurns had a breakout 2015. This is now his third year, and conventional wisdom says this is supposed to be his big leap year. I, on the other hand, believe that this will be a regression year. Hurns is going at pick 73, which is too rich for my blood. I seem to have a bias against WR2s on a team, but Bortles regression will be seen most with Hurns.

Julius Thomas (TE) - 60 catches, 600 yards, 6 TD.

Julius Thomas (TE-Jax) has a long injury history, but, if he can stay healthy, he's a TE1 for the 2016 fantasy football season.

Thomas had an injury-plagued 2015. The same can also be said for most of his career. Thomas is one of those physical freaks at the tight end position. If he can stay healthy, he's going to get some targets, especially around the red zone. He doesn't take much of an investment at pick 97 and could be a TE1 for you all season. I prefer him in the streaming class but wouldn't argue with someone having him as their only TE.


Rashad Greene (WR).

Greene didn't have a very impactful rookie season. You can expect the Jags to try to get the ball to Greene similar to how the Pats have been able to get the ball to Wes Welker and Julian Edelman. That's a leap in production, but don't be surprised if Greene has great catch numbers this season. 


Allen Hurns (WR).

I spelled out the reasons that Hurns could potentially struggle this season. The offense will be better, which will take away from Hurns. If he falls, take him as your WR4 or WR3 in a deep format.

The Jags are going to be fun to watch, here they come.


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